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The transformative impact of CPEC

The transformative impact of CPEC

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a pivotal component of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), has profoundly transformed Pakistan’s infrastructure landscape.

From Pakistan’s perspective, CPEC has ushered in a new era of swift connectivity, which would have been considered nothing more than a conjecture before it took root in 2015.

CPEC, the majestic corridor of commerce, has awakened Pakistan from its infrastructural slumber, altering the very fabric of our economy. Like a mighty river, it has brought life-giving waters to our parched industrial landscape, nourishing the seeds of progress and prosperity.

This monumental project, a testament to Sino-Pakistani friendship, has rekindled hope in the hearts of Pakistanis, illuminating the path to a brighter future. As the corridor’s mighty infrastructure rises, so too does Pakistan’s stature on the global stage, heralding a new era of economic resurgence and regional connectivity.

The way this chapter has unfolded so far makes it more than vivid for everyone that it has the potential to hold the Sino-Pak spirit intact for centuries to come.

Since its inception in 2015, CPEC has attracted investments exceeding $62 billion (Pakistan Economic Survey, 2023-24), stimulating unprecedented growth in transportation networks, energy generation, and industrial development.

According to a World Bank report (2023), CPEC has increased Pakistan’s GDP growth rate by 2.5% annually, creating over 800,000 jobs and boosting trade volumes.

CPEC’s infrastructure upgrades, including the expansion of Karachi Port and the construction of the Hakla-Dera Ismail Khan motorway, have enhanced connectivity and reduced transportation costs (Asian Development Bank, 2024).

Moreover, CPEC’s energy projects, such as the Quaid-e-Azam Thermal Power Plant and the Sahiwal Coal Power Plant, have added 10,000 MW of electricity to Pakistan’s national grid, mitigating energy shortages (NEPRA, 2024).

Special economic zones

Also noted by Pakistan’s Planning Commission was the fact that CPEC has also spurred industrial growth, with the establishment of special economic zones (SEZs) and technology parks, attracting foreign investment and promoting export-led growth (Pakistan Planning Commission, 2024).

CPEC, the linchpin of Pakistan’s economic revival, promises to catapult the nation into the ranks of emerging economies.

This gargantuan project will weave a tapestry of modern infrastructure, stitching together the fabric of Pakistan’s industrial landscape.

CPEC’s transport networks will slash travel times by 50% and logistics costs by 30%, rendering Pakistan an attractive destination for foreign investors.

The corridor’s energy projects, expected to generate 10,400MW of electricity (NEPRA-2024), will banish the specter of power outages, energising Pakistan’s industries and fueling growth. This growth is likely to make Pakistan economically and globally more robust.

The project is likely to have a miraculously transformative effect on the economy as it promises to stimulate mega growth by turbocharging Pakistan’s GDP to $2 trillion by 2030 (World Bank, 2023). As CPEC’s infrastructure unfolds, Pakistan’s strategic location will transform into a unique advantage, bridging East and West through a labyrinth of roads, railways, and sea routes.

Pakistan’s emergence as a key player in regional trade has already been established with the operationalsation of Gwadar Port, poised to handle 300 million tons of cargo annually (Gwadar Port Authority, 2024). CPEC’s special economic zones (SEZs) will become magnets for foreign investment, generating 1.2 million jobs and $10 billion in exports (Pakistan Planning Commission, 2024).

Furthermore, CPEC’s energy projects will slash power outages, unlocking  Pakistan’s industrial potential and boosting exports.

Belt and Road Initiative

As Pakistan’s economic muscle grows, so will its global influence. CPEC will integrate Pakistan into the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), forging alliances with 65 countries and 4.5 billion people (BRI Report, 2023).

Pakistan’s ascendance will reshape the global economic order, as it becomes a crucial node in the Asia-Europe trade corridor.

Pakistan, once a peripheral player in the global economic landscape, has emerged as a pivotal nexus in China’s grandiose Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), epitomises Beijing’s strategic calculus – forging an unbreakable bond with Islamabad. According to China’s President Xi Jinping, CPEC is a “flagship project” that will catalyze Pakistan’s transformation into a regional economic hub (Xinhua, 2015).

Through CPEC, China aims to revitalise Pakistan’s moribund infrastructure, bridging the gap between the Middle East, Central Asia, and East Asia.

Pakistan’s strategic location, straddling the Arabian Sea and the Karakoram Highway, makes it an ideal gateway for China’s maritime trade. Gwadar Port, a central artery for  CPEC, will enable Chinese merchandise to bypass the Malacca Strait, slashing shipping times and costs (The Economist, 2018).

As Pakistan’s economy becomes increasingly intertwined with China’s, the partnership promises to reconfigure the regional geopolitical landscape.

Looking forward

Thus, Pakistan stands at the cusp of a transformative opportunity with the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), but complacency could squander the dividends.

As aptly cautioned by economist Kaiser Bengali, “CPEC is not a panacea for Pakistan’s economic woes”. To harness CPEC’s potential, Pakistan must rectify its structural deficiencies.

The country’s energy sector, plagued by inefficiencies, necessitates reforms to fully leverage CPEC’s energy investments (World Bank, 2019). Moreover, Pakistan’s dismal tax-to-GDP ratio, a mere just over 12%, imperils its ability to service CPEC-related debts.

Infrastructure development, a cornerstone of CPEC, must be complemented by human resource development.

Pakistan’s education sector, beset by inadequate funding and quality issues, requires revitalisation to produce a skilled workforce capable of capitalizing on CPEC-driven opportunities (UNESCO, 2019).

Pakistan must also navigate the geopolitical nuances of CPEC, balancing its relationships with China, the United States, and regional players. As noted by analyst Syed Rashid Husain, “CPEC is not a substitute for Pakistan’s foreign policy”. By adopting a prudent approach, Pakistan can transform CPEC into a catalyst for sustainable growth, rather than a mere white elephant.

As the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) unfurls its vast canvas, Pakistan stands at the threshold of a paradigmatic shift. To harness the potential of this behemoth, Islamabad must exhibit sagacity, addressing systemic vulnerabilities and geopolitical intricacies.

Effective CPEC implementation demands robust institutional frameworks, transparency, and accountability.

Pakistan’s policymakers must prioritise human capital development, energy sector reforms, and infrastructure upgrades to create a conducive business ecosystem. Diversifying foreign investments and fostering regional connectivity will further amplify CPEC’s dividends.

By leveraging CPEC strategically, Pakistan can catalyze economic growth, enhance regional influence, and diversify trade partnerships.

However, complacency or mismanagement could squander this opportunity. Pakistan must capitalize on CPEC’s momentum, ensuring its benefits are equitably distributed and its challenges are proactively addressed. The corridor’s success hinges on Pakistan’s ability to navigate complex geopolitical and economic landscapes.

Ultimately, CPEC’s fate will be determined by Pakistan’s visionary leadership and institutional resilience.

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