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Food security – 2025 and beyond

Food security – 2025 and beyond

The world food crisis is a complex and multifaceted issue that affects millions of people globally. It remains one of the most pressing global challenges, with the year 2025 marking a critical juncture in the ongoing efforts to ensure that all people have access to sufficient, safe, and nutritious food. The crisis is affecting over 280 million people daily, and acute food insecurity is projected to worsen in 16 hunger hotspots.

As of 2025, the global food system is facing unprecedented pressures. Climate change, political instability, and economic disparities continue to exacerbate food insecurity1. According to the World Food Programme (WFP), acute hunger affects over 800 million people worldwide, with regions like Gaza, Sudan, and South Sudan experiencing severe food crises. The WFP’s operational requirements for 2025 amount to $16.9 billion, aiming to reach 123 million of the most vulnerable food-insecure people globally.

In 2024 food security is likely to remain one of the critical challenges for the world to face. The World Bank has therefore included food and nutrition security among the eight global challenges to address at scale, and has mobilised $45 billion in resources to tackle issues and protect livelihoods worldwide — surpassing its initial projected commitment of $30 billion announced  in May 2022.

Anticipating and understanding the evolution of food security and its reactions to future trends is essential for effective policy-making and developing responsive plans. The World Bank’s World Food Security Outlook (WFSO), updated three times a year and last in October 2023, serves as one of the comprehensive resources developed to support this endeavor. This blog aims to distill the key insights from the WFSO’s latest findings and their implications for food security in 2024 and beyond.

World food security outlook: comprehensive tool for analysis

In October 2023, the World Bank published the updated the World Food Security Outlook (WFSO). Published three times each year, the WFSO is an innovative model-based data series designed to monitor and analyze global food security, providing essential information to complement official statistics and help understand the evolving landscape.

Comprising historical, preliminary, and forecast data, the WFSO offers insights into severe food insecurity worldwide, filling critical gaps in knowledge. Key components of the WFSO cover severe food insecurity prevalence, estimates for countries lacking official data, population sizes of the severely food insecure, and required safety net financing.

The key factors contributing to the food crisis include climate change, population growth, economic instability, political conflicts, and food waste.

Climate change

Reasons:

Climate change is one of the most significant contributors to the world food crisis. The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as droughts, floods, and hurricanes, disrupt agricultural production and supply chains. Rising temperatures and changing precipitation patterns affect crop yields and livestock productivity. Additionally, climate change leads to the degradation of arable land, reducing the available agricultural area.

Solutions:

Population growth

Reasons:

The global population is expected to reach 9.7 billion by 2050, significantly increasing the demand for food. Rapid population growth, particularly in developing countries, strains the already limited resources and puts pressure on agricultural systems to produce more food.

Solutions:

Economic instability

Reasons:

Economic instability, including recessions, inflation, and unemployment, affects people’s ability to afford food. Economic downturns lead to reduced income, increased food prices, and limited access to nutritious food, exacerbating food insecurity.

Solutions:

Political conflicts

Reasons:

Political conflicts, wars, and civil unrest disrupt food production, distribution, and access. Conflict-affected regions often experience food shortages, displacement of populations, and destruction of agricultural infrastructure, leading to severe food insecurity.

Solutions:

Food waste

Reasons:

Food waste is a significant contributor to the world food crisis, with approximately one-third of all food produced globally being wasted. Food waste occurs at various stages of the food supply chain, including production, processing, distribution, retail, and consumption.

Solutions:

Inefficient food distribution systems

Reasons:

Inefficient food distribution systems, characterized by inadequate infrastructure, lack of transportation, and poor market access, hinder the timely delivery of food to consumers, leading to food shortages and increased prices.

Solutions:

Lack of access to agricultural inputs

Reasons:

Limited access to essential agricultural inputs, such as seeds, fertilizers, pesticides, and machinery, hampers agricultural productivity and food production. Smallholder farmers in developing countries often face challenges in accessing these inputs due to high costs, lack of availability, and limited knowledge.

Solutions:

Land degradation

Reasons:

Land degradation, including soil erosion, deforestation, and desertification, reduces the availability of arable land for agriculture. Unsustainable farming practices, overgrazing, and urbanization contribute to the degradation of agricultural land, impacting food production.

Solutions:

Water scarcity

Reasons:

Water scarcity is a significant challenge for agriculture, as it limits the availability of water for irrigation and livestock. Overexploitation of water resources, climate change, and pollution contribute to water scarcity, affecting food production.

Solutions:

Trade policies and barriers

Reasons:

Trade policies and barriers, such as tariffs, export restrictions, and import quotas, can disrupt the global food supply chain and impact food availability and prices. Protectionist policies and trade wars exacerbate food insecurity by limiting access to essential food products.

Solutions:


The author, Nazir Ahmed Shaikh, is a freelance writer, columnist, blogger, and motivational speaker. He writes articles on diversified topics. He can be reached at nazir_shaikh86@hotmail.com

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